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DEALS ON HOLD? 1
By Sundeep Tucker and Patti Waldmeir
Wednesday, July 30, 2008
China and India are now so integral to the global financial system that the impact of looming changes to antitrust legislation in both countries is sure to be quickly felt across the world.
China will this Friday implement its inaugural anti-monopoly laws, nearly 15 years after they were first proposed. India, Asia's other giant developing economy, is scheduled to implement tough new antitrust laws in the coming months. The changes find echoes elsewhere in the region, with Hong Kong set to introduce its first ever competition laws and established competition regimes in Japan and South Korea becoming ever more active.
Only last week, Japan's Fair Trade Commission raided the offices of four companies on suspicion that they had conspired to increase the price of polyethylene sheeting used in insulation materials. But it is the twin developments in China and India, each of which is experiencing record levels of cross-border corporate activity, that has set imaginations racing.
The changes, broadly welcomed in business and political circles, testify to China and India's steady integration into the global financial system and its rules and values. At a stroke, China and India will rival the US and the European Union as key global centres for competition law. ¡°It is widely expected that China will soon be the third main jurisdiction for competition law, together with the EU and US,¡± says Kirstie Nicholson of law firm Lovells in Shanghai.
Turning a blind eye to Beijing's and New Delhi's views on antitrust issues will soon no longer be possible. Companies will have to ensure they comply with the new anti-monopoly laws or risk stiff penalties. In India's case, individuals face criminal prosecutions and possible jail sentences. But as implementation looms, there is mounting anxiety in business and legal circles that the new laws could have unintended adverse consequences, including delaying the completion of global mergers and acquisitions.
Erik Soderlind, the new head of Linklaters' competition practice in Asia, says: ¡°The competition landscape in Asia and beyond will change markedly once the new regimes are in place in China and India. But what impact the new regulations have on business and deal-making will depend a lot on how they are implemented.¡±
The new regimes in each country were developed after lengthy consultation and are broadly based on the EU model, spanning the three main pillars of anti-competitive agreements, abuse of dominance and merger control. Their adoption has been driven by a mixture of motives. In China, policymakers were keen to demonstrate that the self-styled socialist market economy has laws to protect consumers. India, too, is keen to earn global recognition as a heavyweight economy that is underpinned by rules long adopted in the west. But Indian agencies have become noticeably more zealous in championing consumer protection issues under the existing, weaker antitrust regime. They have recently targeted several sectors suspected of cartelisation, namely telecommunications, cement, airlines, tyre-making, explosives and shipping.
China's new anti-monopoly law, which takes effect on August 1, could be a milestone in the creation of an economy based on law ¨C or it could merely prove a potent new tool of Beijing-style protectionism. Multinational companies are watching closely to see how the law will be enforced, worried that it could be used selectively against them and not against their Chinese rivals. Foreign companies' access to the fast-growing economy, and their ability to compete with powerful state-owned monopolies, could be riding on it.
It is unclear exactly what transactions, companies and behaviour will be covered by the Chinese rules, even a year after their legislative passage. Legal experts and big foreign companies had hoped that detailed implementing regulations would be published before the August 1 deadline, but it now seems likely that only limited guidance will be available. ¡°It's no more vague than the Treaty of Rome,¡± says Peter Corne of the law firm Eversheds, chairman of the legal working group of the European Union Chamber of Commerce in Shanghai, noting that it will take time to build up a body of regulations, rules and interpretations to flesh out what amounts to only a legal skeleton of anti-trust aspirations.
For many multinationals, the new rules will be an improvement on the status quo in terms of clarity and predictability. The enforcement of new laws in areas such as price-fixing and monopolistic behaviour could also help force open domestic markets to outside competition.
In China, member companies of trade associations still commonly meet to agree prices and business practices ¨C conduct specifically prohibited under the new regime. Yet lawyers warn against viewing the antitrust laws as a panacea. Alison Lindsay of Clifford Chance in Hong Kong says: ¡°The greater certainty which the new laws should bring to this field will not, in itself, create significant business opportunities for foreign investors. Greater opportunities may come from any parallel process of liberalisation in restricted sectors.¡±
India and China each restrict foreign investment in sectors ranging from financial services to telecoms. But many observers fear an immediate adverse impact on mergers and acquisitions ¨C even for deals that take place largely outside China or India. Detailed M&A regulations have yet to be officially released in China but, according to leaked reports, companies will have to file for antitrust approval where each has turnover of Rmb400m (m, £30m, €38m) in China as well as total global turnover of Rmb10bn or combined turnover in China of Rmb2bn.
It is a similar story in India. Revised draft regulations published this month, which even experienced lawyers regard as fiendishly complex, set out thresholds based on global and domestic turnover which, if met, will make merger filings mandatory. The guidance suggests that for deals involving a large global company where two of the parties to the proposed tie-up have assets of m in India or annual Indian turnover of 0m, the acquirer will have to file for antitrust approval.
(To be continued)
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DEALS ON HOLD? 2
By Sundeep Tucker and Patti Waldmeir
Thursday, July 31, 2008
China and India are now so integral to the global financial system that the impact of looming changes to antitrust legislation in both countries is sure to be quickly felt across the world.
China will this Friday implement its inaugural anti-monopoly laws, nearly 15 years after they were first proposed. India, Asia's other giant developing economy, is scheduled to implement tough new antitrust laws in the coming months. The changes find echoes elsewhere in the region, with Hong Kong set to introduce its first ever competition laws and established competition regimes in Japan and South Korea becoming ever more active.
Only last week, Japan's Fair Trade Commission raided the offices of four companies on suspicion that they had conspired to increase the price of polyethylene sheeting used in insulation materials. But it is the twin developments in China and India, each of which is experiencing record levels of cross-border corporate activity, that has set imaginations racing.
The changes, broadly welcomed in business and political circles, testify to China and India's steady integration into the global financial system and its rules and values. At a stroke, China and India will rival the US and the European Union as key global centres for competition law. ¡°It is widely expected that China will soon be the third main jurisdiction for competition law, together with the EU and US,¡± says Kirstie Nicholson of law firm Lovells in Shanghai.
Turning a blind eye to Beijing's and New Delhi's views on antitrust issues will soon no longer be possible. Companies will have to ensure they comply with the new anti-monopoly laws or risk stiff penalties. In India's case, individuals face criminal prosecutions and possible jail sentences. But as implementation looms, there is mounting anxiety in business and legal circles that the new laws could have unintended adverse consequences, including delaying the completion of global mergers and acquisitions.
Erik Soderlind, the new head of Linklaters' competition practice in Asia, says: ¡°The competition landscape in Asia and beyond will change markedly once the new regimes are in place in China and India. But what impact the new regulations have on business and deal-making will depend a lot on how they are implemented.¡±
The new regimes in each country were developed after lengthy consultation and are broadly based on the EU model, spanning the three main pillars of anti-competitive agreements, abuse of dominance and merger control. Their adoption has been driven by a mixture of motives. In China, policymakers were keen to demonstrate that the self-styled socialist market economy has laws to protect consumers. India, too, is keen to earn global recognition as a heavyweight economy that is underpinned by rules long adopted in the west. But Indian agencies have become noticeably more zealous in championing consumer protection issues under the existing, weaker antitrust regime. They have recently targeted several sectors suspected of cartelisation, namely telecommunications, cement, airlines, tyre-making, explosives and shipping.
China's new anti-monopoly law, which takes effect on August 1, could be a milestone in the creation of an economy based on law ¨C or it could merely prove a potent new tool of Beijing-style protectionism. Multinational companies are watching closely to see how the law will be enforced, worried that it could be used selectively against them and not against their Chinese rivals. Foreign companies' access to the fast-growing economy, and their ability to compete with powerful state-owned monopolies, could be riding on it.
It is unclear exactly what transactions, companies and behaviour will be covered by the Chinese rules, even a year after their legislative passage. Legal experts and big foreign companies had hoped that detailed implementing regulations would be published before the August 1 deadline, but it now seems likely that only limited guidance will be available. ¡°It's no more vague than the Treaty of Rome,¡± says Peter Corne of the law firm Eversheds, chairman of the legal working group of the European Union Chamber of Commerce in Shanghai, noting that it will take time to build up a body of regulations, rules and interpretations to flesh out what amounts to only a legal skeleton of anti-trust aspirations.
For many multinationals, the new rules will be an improvement on the status quo in terms of clarity and predictability. The enforcement of new laws in areas such as price-fixing and monopolistic behaviour could also help force open domestic markets to outside competition.
In China, member companies of trade associations still commonly meet to agree prices and business practices ¨C conduct specifically prohibited under the new regime. Yet lawyers warn against viewing the antitrust laws as a panacea. Alison Lindsay of Clifford Chance in Hong Kong says: ¡°The greater certainty which the new laws should bring to this field will not, in itself, create significant business opportunities for foreign investors. Greater opportunities may come from any parallel process of liberalisation in restricted sectors.¡±
India and China each restrict foreign investment in sectors ranging from financial services to telecoms. But many observers fear an immediate adverse impact on mergers and acquisitions ¨C even for deals that take place largely outside China or India. Detailed M&A regulations have yet to be officially released in China but, according to leaked reports, companies will have to file for antitrust approval where each has turnover of Rmb400m (m, £30m, €38m) in China as well as total global turnover of Rmb10bn or combined turnover in China of Rmb2bn.
It is a similar story in India. Revised draft regulations published this month, which even experienced lawyers regard as fiendishly complex, set out thresholds based on global and domestic turnover which, if met, will make merger filings mandatory. The guidance suggests that for deals involving a large global company where two of the parties to the proposed tie-up have assets of m in India or annual Indian turnover of 0m, the acquirer will have to file for antitrust approval.
Companies complain that the turnover thresholds in China and India will trap many transactions that have little or no implications for local competition or consumers. Ranjit Shahani, the head of Novartis India who stepped down last month as president of the Bombay Chamber of Commerce, says: ¡°In India, deal sizes are growing larger and turnover is rising quickly. In that context these threshold levels are set far too low.¡±
Lawyers predict that big companies anywhere in the world ¨C even with limited operations in China or India ¨C will have to wait for permission in Beijing and New Delhi before they can complete large global deals. From BHP and Rio Tinto to Microsoft and Yahoo, the list of companies that could be affected is almost endless. ¡°Certainly such big offshore deals will get a close look in China as elsewhere, and it would be reasonable to expect some such deals . . . to raise issues requiring a closer look ¨C and thus some delay ¨C in China as elsewhere,¡± says Peter Wang of Jones Day in Shanghai.
Merger filings in China could be merely a formality; or they could trigger significant delays of up to six months before approval is granted ¨C or refused. Unlike in India, it is unclear how the competition authorities in China will treat deals involving private equity or joint ventures.
Another big question is whether China's domestic companies will face equal scrutiny. Up to now, unlike foreign companies, they have had no obligation to file for merger approval. The new law will apply to Chinese companies but there is a loophole for state-owned enterprises, which still dominate the economy. If Beijing wants to exempt them, it probably can. The application of the law to state-owned companies was left deliberately vague, and it remains to be seen how it will be applied.
A merger filing in India will trigger a waiting period of up to 210 days, compared with the typical 30-60 days in the EU and US. India's business leaders, scarred by years of dealing with India's notoriously inefficient bureaucracy, confidently predict that the competition authority will lack the expertise or drive to make early decisions ¨C especially in complex cases.
Mr Shahani says: ¡°If these draconian powers had been in place two years ago then deals such as Tata/Corus would never have taken place. Commerce doesn't wait 210 days. Tata would have lost that deal. The Indian bureaucracy is far too slow.¡±
One senior investment banker in Mumbai says that the financial community is resigned to the laws having an adverse impact on M&A but adds: ¡°The new laws will, sooner or later, stop a high-profile overseas acquisition by an Indian company. Then all hell will break loose and the government will be pressured into changing the regulations.¡±
Enforcement is also a major concern. Turf wars in Beijing have prevented the creation of a designated specialist agency and, until they are settled, the Ministry of Commerce, the State Administration for Industry and Commerce (SAIC) and the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) will share responsibility for enforcement. In a note to clients, Lovells this month warned that business was ¡°at the mercy of an unpredictable three-headed dragon¡±.
Such a split, in particular between the NDRC and SAIC, could easily cause ¡°regulatory confusion¡±, adds Alex Potter of Freshfields Bruckhaus Deringer. Competition between government bureaucrats is scarcely the kind of competition that the law was passed to promote.
India has no such dragon, having set up the Competition Commission of India and, more recently, the Competition Appellate Tribunal to hear appeals against the orders of the CCI. But business fears that neither body will offer salaries competitive enough to attract the sharpest brains and that both institutions will lack experience in dealing with the likely caseloads. The tight restrictions governing the ability of global law and accountancy firms to operate in India could add further complexity to some global deals.
Manish Bahl, a senior lawyer in the India group at Clifford Chance, says the Indian authorities deserve praise for allowing companies to use e-mail to make merger filings ¨C a world first ¨C and that the time and cost benefits of using the English language in documents should not be underestimated.
Thanks to the rise in outbound acquisitions in recent years, Indian and Chinese companies have in recent years become familiar with dealing with antitrust regimes across the world. Likewise, leading global companies are used to filing for merger clearance in multiple jurisdictions.
In the final reckoning, however, China and India's efforts to make their respective forms of capitalism more responsive to the needs of citizens will depend on creating a culture of competitiveness ¨C something no law can do on its own. ¡°People need to be made aware that they shouldn't be talking to their competitors about pricing and other matters,¡± says Lui Chun Fai of Baker & McKenzie in Shanghai. ¡°Competition law is still a very new thing, in China or in Asia generally.¡±¾¼Ã¹Û²ì,ÖÐÓ¡·´Â¢¶Ï·¨µÄÓ°Ïì
